*** Sat, 3 Sep 2016 22:34:05 ***
VAR ESTIMATION RESULTS
endogenous variables: realcons realgdp realinv
exogenous variables:
deterministic variables: CONST S1 S2 S3 TREND
endogenous lags: 4
exogenous lags: 0
sample range: [1960 Q1, 2009 Q3], T = 199
modulus of the eigenvalues of the reverse characteristic polynomial :
|z| = ( 1.5030 1.5030 1.9859 1.9859 8.0600 3.3058 1.5023 1.5023 1.0605 1.0605 1.2661 1.0124 )
Legend:
=======
Equation 1 Equation 2 ...
------------------------------------------
Variable 1 | Coefficient ...
| (Std. Dev.)
| {p - Value}
| [t - Value]
Variable 2 | ...
...
------------------------------------------
Lagged endogenous term:
=======================
realcons realgdp realinv
-------------------------------------------
realcons(t-1)| 1.426 1.290 0.956
| (0.114) (0.196) (0.142)
| {0.000} {0.000} {0.000}
| [12.492] [6.592] [6.737]
realgdp (t-1)| -0.268 0.540 -0.163
| (0.090) (0.154) (0.112)
| {0.003} {0.000} {0.145}
| [-2.982] [3.500] [-1.459]
realinv (t-1)| 0.309 0.347 1.168
| (0.104) (0.179) (0.130)
| {0.003} {0.052} {0.000}
| [2.966] [1.940] [9.012]
realcons(t-2)| -0.134 -0.681 -0.650
| (0.192) (0.330) (0.239)
| {0.485} {0.039} {0.007}
| [-0.698] [-2.065] [-2.718]
realgdp (t-2)| 0.054 0.394 0.209
| (0.129) (0.221) (0.160)
| {0.675} {0.075} {0.192}
| [0.420] [1.779] [1.304]
realinv (t-2)| -0.150 -0.465 -0.336
| (0.164) (0.282) (0.204)
| {0.362} {0.099} {0.100}
| [-0.912] [-1.648] [-1.644]
realcons(t-3)| 0.160 -0.107 -0.139
| (0.197) (0.337) (0.245)
| {0.415} {0.751} {0.570}
| [0.815] [-0.317] [-0.568]
realgdp (t-3)| -0.014 -0.183 -0.217
| (0.128) (0.220) (0.159)
| {0.913} {0.405} {0.173}
| [-0.110] [-0.832] [-1.362]
realinv (t-3)| -0.038 0.127 0.251
| (0.162) (0.277) (0.201)
| {0.813} {0.645} {0.212}
| [-0.236] [0.460] [1.248]
realcons(t-4)| -0.449 -0.384 -0.112
| (0.132) (0.226) (0.164)
| {0.001} {0.089} {0.495}
| [-3.402] [-1.698] [-0.683]
realgdp (t-4)| 0.218 0.167 0.149
| (0.094) (0.161) (0.117)
| {0.020} {0.301} {0.201}
| [2.318] [1.034] [1.278]
realinv (t-4)| -0.104 -0.084 -0.196
| (0.111) (0.191) (0.138)
| {0.352} {0.661} {0.155}
| [-0.931] [-0.438] [-1.421]
-------------------------------------------
Deterministic term:
===================
realcons realgdp realinv
---------------------------------------
CONST | 24.900 42.506 -18.948
| (24.888) (42.686) (30.949)
| {0.317} {0.319} {0.540}
| [1.000] [0.996] [-0.612]
S1 (t)| 4.467 7.211 4.148
| (5.538) (9.499) (6.887)
| {0.420} {0.448} {0.547}
| [0.807] [0.759] [0.602]
S2 (t)| -1.542 14.076 7.342
| (5.455) (9.357) (6.784)
| {0.777} {0.132} {0.279}
| [-0.283] [1.504] [1.082]
S3 (t)| 8.801 12.824 6.303
| (5.520) (9.467) (6.864)
| {0.111} {0.176} {0.358}
| [1.594] [1.355] [0.918]
TREND(t)| 0.386 0.532 -0.108
| (0.351) (0.602) (0.436)
| {0.271} {0.376} {0.804}
| [1.100] [0.885] [-0.248]
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